Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019882 0.021445 0.023072 0.024894 0.026878 0.028975 0.031361
2025-11-09 0.017024 0.019226 0.021639 0.024483 0.027752 0.031400 0.035789
2025-11-16 0.015092 0.017630 0.020516 0.024053 0.028285 0.033207 0.039389
2025-11-23 0.013837 0.016611 0.019864 0.023979 0.029070 0.035196 0.043173
2025-11-30 0.012781 0.015702 0.019218 0.023787 0.029605 0.036815 0.046505
2025-12-07 0.011933 0.014963 0.018693 0.023659 0.030145 0.038402 0.049819
2025-12-14 0.011180 0.014277 0.018169 0.023463 0.030542 0.039774 0.052877
2025-12-21 0.010624 0.013799 0.017866 0.023512 0.031227 0.041523 0.056500
2025-12-28 0.010061 0.013271 0.017457 0.023374 0.031627 0.042874 0.059618
2026-01-04 0.009595 0.012843 0.017146 0.023340 0.032142 0.044385 0.063018
2026-01-11 0.009218 0.012510 0.016941 0.023425 0.032813 0.046127 0.066827
2026-01-18 0.008850 0.012167 0.016699 0.023438 0.033364 0.047704 0.070461
2026-01-25 0.008470 0.011803 0.016429 0.023423 0.033915 0.049374 0.074445
2026-02-01 0.007993 0.011281 0.015909 0.023017 0.033866 0.050148 0.077103
2026-02-08 0.007556 0.010793 0.015412 0.022612 0.033784 0.050853 0.079675
2026-02-15 0.007248 0.010477 0.015150 0.022542 0.034204 0.052344 0.083596
2026-02-22 0.006934 0.010137 0.014831 0.022363 0.034434 0.053532 0.087073
2026-03-01 0.006658 0.009840 0.014562 0.022243 0.034742 0.054850 0.090838
2026-03-08 0.006386 0.009536 0.014265 0.022061 0.034933 0.055974 0.094323
2026-03-15 0.006187 0.009334 0.014118 0.022106 0.035494 0.057736 0.099029
2026-03-22 0.005959 0.009079 0.013873 0.021978 0.035751 0.058988 0.102889
2026-03-29 0.005767 0.008871 0.013693 0.021945 0.036164 0.060521 0.107350
2026-04-05 0.005611 0.008713 0.013585 0.022025 0.036770 0.062417 0.112603